Polls show Kenyan election result could go either way

Uhuru Kenyatta and Raila Odinga.
Uhuru Kenyatta and Raila Odinga.

The latest Kenyan general election polls have shown different results in the popularity ratings of President Uhuru Kenyatta and Opposition leader Raila Odinga.

Those being surveyed were asked: “If elections were held today, whom would you vote for as president and deputy-president?”

According to the IPSOS Kenya survey ahead of the August 8 election, President Uhuru leads with a popularity rating of 47 per cent while Raila is at 43 per cent. It also showed that the opposition leader had narrowed the gap between himself and the President by one per cent.

However, a poll conducted by Infotrak puts Odinga ahead by one percentage point with the two at 47 and 46 per cent respectively.

When asked about party popularity, the IPSOS survey rated Jubilee at 44 per cent and NASA at 42 per cent while Infotrak showed them tied at 45 per cent.

According to Infotrak Chief Executive Officer Angela Ambitho, most of President Kenyatta’s support comes from Central, Rift Valley, Eastern and North Eastern regions.

Explaining how the presidential race would be a two horse race between NASA and Jubilee, she said the 6 per cent of undecided voters discounted the possibility of a run-off.

She also revealed that 49 per cent of Kenyans interviewed for the survey expressed feelings that the country is headed in the wrong direction as opposed to 47 per cent.

The Infotrak poll was conducted between July 16 and 22 with 22,000 respondents interviewed in 31 counties and 100 constituencies with data collected through Household Computer Assisted Personal Interviews.